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Old 07-11-2017, 12:30 PM
dakota560
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Default Re: NOAA is both right and wrong about Fluke

Quote:
Originally Posted by reason162 View Post
Dakota, I also read your posts with great interest. I am not dismissing out of hand the sex ratio theory, but there is countering evidence which you do seem to dismiss, that fluke is indeed a particularly steep species and therefore resistant to sex ratio imbalance. I think the Rutgers study will shed light on squaring that circle, but the fact is there might not be a conflict to resolve within those parameters if there are larger forces at play. Climate change would most certainly have an impact on fluke migration/recruitment/abundance, as it does on every species on earth. My assumption is that even if true, whatever effect the sex ratio imbalance is on recruitment, the effects of climate change largely eclipses.

I know I don't need to point out to you the difference between causation and correlation, but for the benefit of the forum: the "perfect inverse relationship" you plot between size regulation and recruitment is firmly in the first camp, and could very well be irrelevant IF the causation lies elsewhere, ie global climate change. I wish you were correct, that fisheries management alone is to blame, or that regulations account for the majority of poor recruitment. If that is the case, the solution is relatively easy.
I'm not of the opinion that 25 - 30 years of very definitive trends and distinct relationships are correlations, I believe they're very much are cause and effect driven. Either way these trends and relationships have existed for too long a period of time to be ignored and not better understood. After all that is the responsibility of fisheries management yes?
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