View Full Version : Reading the forecast
Abrasion
01-12-2016, 12:46 PM
Ok. Looking for some opinions here from the more seasoned guys. It is my understanding that west winds will always lay the ocean down for at least the first 2 miles off of the beach.
Here is the marine forecast: http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/AN/451.html
I would think besides some rain, Saturday should be a good day to fish. Light west wind. Someone I trust when it comes on go/no go calls said that there is no way im fishing on Saturday.
Looking for some input. Thanks!
hookset
01-12-2016, 01:00 PM
West winds will lay the ocean down,however sometimes it takes some time! It has been very windy here at the beach for a few days now and with winds over 20 knots predicted to persist till early Friday I think there will be a pretty good swell left! It will be fish able from a party boat or large boat but I wouldn't think very comfortable! Also add in the possibility that a lot of fish may be still settling along with the bottom and fishing could be a little slow for a few days after the long blow!
I'm never one to tell someone to stay home because your comfort level and experience on a your boat may be higher then me on mine, but I wouldn't think of taking my 25 footer out on Saturday!
Gerry Zagorski
01-12-2016, 01:16 PM
Other then some rain, Saturday looks perfect. It's says 3-5 foot seas but I would bet that is further offshore, not inshore and the few days leading up to Saturday don't look to be too bad so the bottom should not be all churned up.
If the days leading up to Saturday were east N,NE, S or SE the concern there would be the residual effect of the seas churning up the bottom.
ytuna
01-12-2016, 01:46 PM
If you are on a charter or Party Boat leave the call to the captain. They know where they want to fish and what the weather specifics will mean for that spot.
We are very fortunate that a lot of local boats run open trips. Captains that run these trips sometimes get burned by folks that think they can interpret the weather better than a guy that is on the water 250 plus days a year.
Once you say you want a spot you are committed to sail or to pay. If you cancel at the last minute the captain has a limited ability to replace you. You are in affect taking money out of his pocket. You can't put the trip back into inventory and sell it another day.
Abrasion
01-12-2016, 01:55 PM
This would be on my private boat so no worries about the party boat.
I'm not looking to be a statistic. I will very happily put the boat back on the trailer and go out for a seafood dinner.
For those that know me I sail in a 20 ft Tin Can so weather is very important to me.
I just recall Capt. Ron(who I admire) always said that west winds make for a good day on the water with calm seas.
kurtisb
01-12-2016, 02:27 PM
windguru, windfinder and fishweather all have it blowing NE at 30.
CubasFinest12
01-12-2016, 02:28 PM
There is no way youre fishing saturday in 20 footer...... N/NE 25-38 mph seas 5 feet and building. Friday looks very good however, but saturday i dont think you have a chance.
captmark
01-12-2016, 02:36 PM
or look at Fishfinder for a good forecast for the wind, yeah it shows the same as wind guru 35 knots from the NE we have a Low Pressure system coming in
MrAC1980
01-12-2016, 02:39 PM
I thought you were fishing Friday in your tin can?? Whats this talk about Saturday now? Funny that wunderground is the only one showing Saturday West at 5kts. But Friday both sites I use are in agreement.
Abrasion
01-12-2016, 03:19 PM
I thought you were fishing Friday in your tin can?? Whats this talk about Saturday now? Funny that wunderground is the only one showing Saturday West at 5kts. But Friday both sites I use are in agreement.
Both Friday and Saturday. Wife and kids are going skiing at in-laws for the weekend. I may sleep in the boat and fish all weekend!
Abrasion
01-12-2016, 03:24 PM
There is no way youre fishing saturday in 20 footer...... N/NE 25-38 mph seas 5 feet and building. Friday looks very good however, but saturday i dont think you have a chance.
If that's the case the Tin Can will be making an appearance at Monksville for Muskie.
CCMPmonmouth
01-12-2016, 03:42 PM
Ocean should be fine except for the building swell. That is if the forecast stays the same. 5 days out is a little early lock down forecasts during the winter, with fronts and systems every 3 days or so . I would watch out for whatever system is going to cause the 4 to 7 foot swell predicted for Sat. night. that could be a game changer.
Reel Class
01-12-2016, 05:46 PM
windguru.com
fishweather.com
Saturday right now looks like HARD NE to HARD N and if it's what it's advertised on these much more reliable forecasts (DON'T TRUST NOAA!) then it will be very sporty on Saturday.
As Bill said, call the captain if you're not sure. They will not steer you wrong :)
Abrasion
01-12-2016, 07:14 PM
windguru.com
fishweather.com
Saturday right now looks like HARD NE to HARD N and if it's what it's advertised on these much more reliable forecasts (DON'T TRUST NOAA!) then it will be very sporty on Saturday.
As Bill said, call the captain if you're not sure. They will not steer you wrong :)
To quote the hijackers of the Maersk Alabama.
"I'm the Captain!"
Joey Dah Fish
01-12-2016, 08:34 PM
To quote the hijackers of the Maersk Alabama.
"I'm the Captain!"
I think you're gonna need a bigger boat
Abrasion
01-12-2016, 10:35 PM
I think you're gonna need a bigger boat
Tell that to my wife.
Reel Class
01-13-2016, 04:56 AM
To quote the hijackers of the Maersk Alabama.
"I'm the Captain!"
Well then you better consider rescheduling the trip my friend.
Updated forecast looks like NE to NNE gusting to 30, then swinging around to the west by the afternoon.
Give it time, see what happens. If the above forecast holds, be prepared to watch the NFL playoffs saturday :)
1captainron
01-13-2016, 07:37 AM
This would be on my private boat so no worries about the party boat.
I'm not looking to be a statistic. I will very happily put the boat back on the trailer and go out for a seafood dinner.
For those that know me I sail in a 20 ft Tin Can so weather is very important to me.
I just recall Capt. Ron(who I admire) always said that west winds make for a good day on the water with calm seas.
Not always Cappy, especially this time of year in a 20 ft boat! :)
Joey Dah Fish
01-13-2016, 05:34 PM
Well whatta ya know Saturday back to NW :)
Gerry Zagorski
01-13-2016, 05:44 PM
NW = Good :D
Think I'm going to look to get out too... Just don't tell the wife, especially you Joey :rolleyes:
captmark
01-13-2016, 05:52 PM
Wow Ab look at fishweather.com its changed big time yeah it will be a westerly but who knows about the swells in the am we do have a Low pressure coming in Friday
Joey Dah Fish
01-13-2016, 06:58 PM
NW = Good :D
Think I'm going to look to get out too... Just don't tell the wife, especially you Joey :rolleyes:
My sister I law informed me you are land locked until you redo the painting in the entire house and buy new furniture and appliances :p
Reel Class
01-13-2016, 07:10 PM
As the others said saturday now looks fantastic!
See how much the forecast can change? LOL
shrimpman steve
01-13-2016, 07:55 PM
my sister i law informed me you are land locked until you redo the painting in the entire house and buy new furniture and appliances :p
lmfao
Gerry Zagorski
01-14-2016, 08:05 AM
My sister I law informed me you are land locked until you redo the painting in the entire house and buy new furniture and appliances :p
I see a lot of visits to VT candle stores in your future :p
CCMPmonmouth
01-14-2016, 01:39 PM
East is least West is best.
bunker dunker
01-14-2016, 02:22 PM
the honey-do virus got Gerry{LOL}.
Reel Class
01-14-2016, 07:16 PM
now looking a tad iffy again, back to that NE to N then to W thing...
again windguru.com OR fishweather.com
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